The African Democratic Congress (ADC) must act swiftly to anoint a candidate for the 2027 presidential election, as time is running out amid internal leadership disputes and looming deadlines set by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC). Political analysts warn that parties must conduct realistic assessments of their strengths and weaknesses to succeed in next year's polls.
Internal Challenges and Time Constraints
The ADC, formed as a coalition in July 2025, has faced numerous obstacles, including alleged infiltration by moles hired to sabotage its prospects. The party initially sought to register a fresh platform called the All Democratic Alliance (ADA) but was frustrated. The sudden influx of prominent opposition figures such as Atiku Abubakar, David Mark, Rauf Aregbesola, Rotimi Amaechi, and Nasir el-Rufai turned the ADC into a major opposition force, but also attracted legal and internal conflicts.
INEC has set May 10 as the deadline for parties to submit their membership registers, with primaries scheduled between April 23 and May 30, 2026. The ADC is pressed for time, especially due to a leadership dispute that the Supreme Court is yet to resolve. On April 22, the court heard the appeal filed by interim chairman David Mark but reserved judgment, causing further uncertainty.
External Interference and Internal Divisions
Some observers blame the ADC for not resolving its internal affairs earlier. Others point to interference from the ruling party, citing Chief of Staff Femi Gbajabiamila's public encouragement of Rep. Leke Abejide to destroy the ADC from within. Similar tactics were allegedly used against the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and the Social Democratic Party (SDP).
Once the leadership issue is settled, the ADC must begin processing aspirants for 2027. The most contentious issue is the selection of a presidential flagbearer, with debates over zoning and the North-South rotational principle. Atiku Abubakar has indicated interest in running, arguing that rotational presidency is not a constitutional provision but a PDP creation disrupted by President Umar Yar'Adua's death in 2010.
Presidential Aspirants and Alliances
Peter Obi remains a formidable contender, known for his grassroots engagement and ability to unsettle the ruling party. He has promised to serve only one term if elected. Rotimi Amaechi also seeks the ADC ticket, but faces challenges in his home state of Rivers, where political cohesion has eroded under Nyesom Wike's influence. A recent meeting between Obi and Amaechi highlighted their competing ambitions.
A potential alliance between Obi and former Kano State Governor Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso is gaining traction, offering a solution to the ADC's puzzle. Analysts urge the frontline contenders to make sacrifices for the country's sake and avoid dissipating energies in silos.
Ultimately, the ADC must organize itself effectively to present a formidable opposition. The judiciary is urged to avoid distractions and promptly resolve the leadership dispute. With the right moves, the ADC could emerge as a strong challenger in 2027.
