Strategic Pause: Kwankwaso's ADC Move Awaits Clarity on Obi's 2027 Presidential Bid
Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso, the national leader of the New Nigeria People's Party (NNPP), has strategically delayed his anticipated defection to the African Democratic Congress (ADC). This postponement stems directly from ongoing uncertainties surrounding whether former Anambra State governor, Peter Obi, will secure the ADC's presidential ticket for the highly anticipated 2027 general elections.
Obasanjo-Brokered Alliance and Northern Caution
The political landscape is being shaped by a significant alliance, reportedly initiated by former President Olusegun Obasanjo. This proposed partnership aims to unite Peter Obi and Rabiu Kwankwaso under the ADC banner ahead of the 2027 polls. Sources within both the Kwankwasiyya Movement and the ADC confirm that discussions have reached an advanced stage, with a joint committee already established to actualize this collaborative ticket.
However, a critical factor influencing Kwankwaso's timeline is counsel from influential northern leaders. These advisors have reportedly warned the NNPP leader against formalizing his defection until there is concrete assurance that Peter Obi will indeed be the ADC's presidential flagbearer. An insider from the Kwankwaso camp explained the delicate dynamics, noting that Kwankwaso currently represents Obi's primary bargaining chip for securing the ticket, necessitating careful strategic play.
The 2023 Context and Current Political Calculus
Both figures are veterans of the 2023 presidential race, where Peter Obi contested under the Labour Party (LP) and Rabiu Kwankwaso under the NNPP, finishing third and fourth respectively. Peter Obi officially joined the ADC in December 2025, setting the stage for this new political chapter. The proposed alliance, therefore, represents a significant recalibration of opposition forces aiming to present a united front.
While ADC leaders are actively pressuring Kwankwaso to join their ranks, the former Kano State governor remains in a phase of extensive consultation. A loyalist emphasized the fluid nature of politics, stating that until these consultations conclude, no definitive action will be taken. The source also highlighted concerns within the camp about elements rooting for a Atiku Abubakar presidency potentially gaining influence within the ADC.
Kwankwaso's Political Profile and the Road Ahead
Rabiu Kwankwaso, the 69-year-old politician recognizable by his signature red cap, brings a substantial political resume to the table. A former defence minister, senator, and two-term governor of Kano, he leads the loyal Kwankwasiyya movement. His career has seen him navigate several political parties, including a notable move from the PDP to the APC in 2013, before his current leadership of the NNPP.
The delay in his defection underscores the high-stakes negotiations defining the pre-2027 election period. With Obasanjo reportedly connecting Obi with northern power brokers to ensure the alliance's success, the coming months will be crucial in determining whether this political marriage materializes and under what precise terms.
