Political Uncertainty: Why Tinubu May Replace Shettima as Running Mate in 2027 Election
Nigeria's political landscape is facing significant turbulence as speculation mounts over the future of Vice President Kashim Shettima in the upcoming 2027 presidential election. Internal movements within the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC) suggest that Shettima might be excluded from the party's ticket, creating uncertainty about his political trajectory.
Tinubu's Second Term Ambition and Shettima's Precarious Position
President Bola Ahmed Tinubu has reportedly made clear his intention to seek a second term in office, but whether Vice President Shettima will remain as his running mate appears increasingly uncertain. Political observers note that ongoing permutations within the APC could compel President Tinubu to drop Shettima in favor of another candidate for the vice presidential position.
Analysts warn that the APC must carefully manage this delicate situation to avoid creating a political crisis ahead of the crucial 2027 polls. The party's working committee is said to be navigating these complex dynamics with caution, recognizing the potential for internal division if the matter is not handled appropriately.
Northern Governors and Lawmakers Position Themselves
Reports indicate that several influential figures are actively positioning themselves for the coveted vice presidential slot. According to credible sources, four northern governors—two each from the northeast and northwest regions—alongside two principal officers from the National Assembly are eyeing the position.
This development follows what analysts describe as deeper issues within the party, highlighted by a chaotic northeast stakeholders' meeting that occurred months ago. The tension from that gathering appears to have been a precursor to the current maneuvering for political advantage.
Tinubu's History of Changing Deputies
Political analyst Jide Ojo, speaking on national television, pointed to President Tinubu's historical pattern of changing deputies as a potential indicator of what might happen with Shettima. "If you look at the past history of President Tinubu, he has always been changing his deputies," Ojo noted.
"In eight years as governor, he had three deputies. From Femi Pedro to Mrs. Kofoworola and others. About four deputies or so. Have you ever seen the president handing over to President Shettima even for one day? No matter how long Tinubu spent outside Nigeria, he never allowed Shettima to be acting president."
APC's Internal Dynamics and Religious Balance Considerations
The APC appears to be facing a delicate balancing act as it prepares for the 2027 presidential election. Amidst these discussions about the vice presidential seat, the resignation of former APC chairman Umar Ganduje has added another layer of uncertainty to the party's internal dynamics.
Competent media sources have indicated that pressure is mounting on President Tinubu to ensure religious balance on his presidential ticket as he prepares for re-election. Forces from the United States have reportedly expressed a preference for a Muslim-Christian ticket in Tinubu's quest to retain his position as Nigeria's president beyond 2027.
The Road to 2027: Challenges and Opportunities
As Nigeria moves closer to the 2027 elections, several key factors will influence the APC's decision-making process:
- Regional representation: The party must carefully consider geographical balance in its ticket selection
- Religious considerations: Growing pressure for a Muslim-Christian ticket could reshape political calculations
- Internal party unity: Managing competing ambitions without creating lasting divisions
- Electoral viability: Selecting a ticket that maximizes the party's chances of victory
The coming months will be crucial as the APC navigates these complex political waters. With President Tinubu determined to seek a second term and several influential figures reportedly vying for the vice presidential slot, the future of Kashim Shettima within the party remains uncertain. The party's ability to manage these internal dynamics while presenting a united front to voters will significantly impact Nigeria's political trajectory in the lead-up to the 2027 elections.
