The political landscape in Nigeria is bracing for a significant shift as the African Democratic Congress (ADC) positions itself for a potentially massive influx of federal legislators before the 2027 general elections.
ADC's Ambitious Recruitment Drive
Indications strongly suggest that numerous members of the 10th National Assembly are seriously considering leaving their current political parties to join the ADC. While no formal declarations have been made, the party's leadership has confirmed that high-level discussions are actively underway.
Malam Bolaji Abdullahi, the ADC National Publicity Secretary, acknowledged the ongoing negotiations. He stated that he is aware that several Representatives and Senators from the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) plan to defect to the ADC soon, though he did not specify exact figures.
Scale of Potential Defections and Key States
Political operatives with knowledge of recent strategy meetings in Abuja and key states reveal the ambitious scale of the ADC's plans. Sources indicate that as many as 21 Senators and 86 Members of the House of Representatives have, in principle, shown interest in switching to the party. However, it is crucial to note that none have publicly crossed over yet.
To manage these sensitive consultations, lawmakers sympathetic to the move have reportedly appointed informal 'anchormen' in various states. The talks appear to be more advanced in certain regions:
- Benue State: Approximately eight federal lawmakers are reviewing their political options, influenced by the protracted factional crisis within the state's All Progressives Congress (APC). The conflict involves groups loyal to the Secretary to the Government of the Federation, George Akume, and Governor Hyacinth Alia.
- Kano State: Several legislators are already engaged in exploratory discussions with the ADC.
- Lagos and Borno States: Discussions are also ongoing, though no public announcement timelines have been set.
- South East: Interest is described as modest but steadily growing.
Motivations and the ADC's Appeal
The motivations driving these potential defections are varied. They range from deep-seated intra-party crises and fears over not securing return tickets to widespread dissatisfaction with the primary election processes in the major parties.
A political aide familiar with the situation in Benue explained, "With the security situation and the unresolved divisions within the APC in Benue, many lawmakers are unsure of their chances in 2027. Some are simply exploring alternatives."
A significant draw for lawmakers, especially first-term members, is the ADC's reported offer of "automatic tickets and seamless primaries." This promise provides a lifeline to those uncertain about renomination in their current, more turbulent parties.
Furthermore, the leadership of National Chairman Senator David Mark, a former Senate President with an eight-year tenure, is seen as a stabilizing force. His experience offers a rallying point for legislators seeking a more predictable and structured internal party process.
Analysts Urge Caution Amidst the Buzz
Despite the considerable buzz, political observers caution that expressed interest or informal engagement does not automatically guarantee mass defections. The legal and political complexities surrounding mid-term party switches in Nigeria are substantial and can act as a deterrent.
Nevertheless, the ADC's renewed visibility and aggressive recruitment campaign underscore a broader period of political repositioning as the 2027 elections draw nearer. Parties are recalibrating their strategies, and lawmakers are critically reassessing their paths to political survival, setting the stage for a highly dynamic pre-election season.
