Challenges of Swimming Against Presidential Tide for Makinde, Obi
Oyo State Governor, Seyi Makinde, and former Anambra State Governor, Peter Obi, have both entered the 2027 presidential race, united by their commitment to sustaining the North-South power rotation principle. They aim to unseat incumbent President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, but face significant challenges including late defections and platform changes.
Supporters of both men have urged them to challenge Tinubu, echoing sentiments in different languages and styles. On May 3, 2026, Obi announced his departure from the African Democratic Congress (ADC) to join the Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC). Eleven days later, Makinde declared his candidacy on the Allied Peoples Movement (APM) platform at Mapo Hall in Ibadan.
Similarities and Differences
Both candidates moved to new political platforms to pursue their ambitions. They share a belief that the presidency should remain in the South. However, Makinde relies on his engineering and strategic skills, while Obi demonstrates trading instincts, having outmaneuvered rivals in the ADC coalition.
Hurdles of Confrontation
Obi and Makinde faced major confrontations within their former parties. Obi left the ADC due to internal crises and Atiku Abubakar's influence, joining the NDC. Makinde aligned a PDP faction with the APM, creating tension with Nyesom Wike. The Obi-Kwankwaso alliance aims to erode Tinubu's northern support, while Makinde's bid raises questions about opposition unity.
Who Gets the West?
Makinde's declaration at Mapo Hall ended speculation. His PDP-APM alliance provides a platform for his ambition but draws criticism as a potential spoiler against Tinubu. Former Governor Olusegun Osoba warned of a gang-up, but expressed confidence in Tinubu's projects. Makinde argues democracy thrives on competition, accusing the ruling party of creating a one-party state.
The 2027 election will test whether opposition unity can overcome incumbency and regional bloc votes. Makinde's role may be more symbolic, preserving Oyo's opposition identity, while the southern electoral map favors the APC.
