The Super Eagles of Nigeria face a pivotal moment in their 2025 Africa Cup of Nations campaign this Saturday, December 27, as they prepare to battle Tunisia in a crucial Group C showdown. Following a narrow opening victory against Tanzania, this match represents Nigeria's toughest test yet, with a win guaranteeing top spot in the group and almost certainly sealing a place in the tournament's Round of 16 with one game to spare.
Unlocking Victor Osimhen's Threat
The isolation of Victor Osimhen was a glaring issue in Nigeria's opening match. Despite his relentless movement and effort, the star striker was starved of service in dangerous areas against Tanzania, had a goal disallowed for offside, and was substituted while visibly frustrated. For Nigeria to triumph against a defensively disciplined Tunisian side, coach Eric Chelle must devise a system that effectively supplies his primary goal threat.
Tunisia, anchored by defender Montassar Talbi, will aim to cut off the supply lines to Osimhen. Chelle's tactical approach will be decisive. A counter-attacking strategy could create the space Osimhen thrives in, allowing him to exploit his pace behind defenders. Conversely, a possession-based game would bring him more touches, albeit in more congested areas. Choosing the wrong approach risks neutralizing Nigeria's most potent weapon.
Dominating the Midfield Battle
Controlling the engine room is non-negotiable against a Tunisian team renowned for its midfield organization and tactical discipline. Their recent successes have been built on dictating the tempo and forcing opponents into uncomfortable positions. Nigeria's diamond midfield formation showed promise in flashes during the first game, with Alex Iwobi instrumental in both goals.
If Chelle persists with this shape, the role of Wilfred Ndidi becomes paramount. He must provide a robust shield for the defense while simultaneously freeing Iwobi to orchestrate attacks. The balance is delicate; a midfield that sits too deep invites sustained Tunisian pressure, while an overly aggressive high press could leave dangerous gaps for the opposition to exploit.
The Power of the Ruthless Counter-Attack
Surrendering possession to Tunisia could be a deliberate and effective strategy for the Super Eagles. Analysis of Tunisia's 3-1 win over Uganda reveals they did not dominate the ball early on. Uganda controlled significant periods before being punished for mistakes by Tunisia's clinical finishing in the second half.
Nigeria possesses the perfect arsenal to exploit this potential weakness. With the blistering pace of Victor Osimhen, Ademola Lookman, and Samuel Chukwueze, the Super Eagles can transition from defense to attack with devastating speed. By absorbing pressure and striking with precision on the break, Nigeria can hurt Tunisia precisely when they commit players forward in search of goals.
Mourinho's Advice and the Path Forward
Former Chelsea manager Jose Mourinho, while noting Nigeria are not outright favourites, has highlighted that the squad has the quality to win AFCON 2025. He stressed that maintaining unity and focus under the intense tournament pressure will be the real challenge. For coach Eric Chelle, who has promised to make two tactical changes for this match, implementing these three key factors—maximizing Osimhen, winning midfield, and executing counters—could be the blueprint for a vital victory that puts Nigeria firmly on course for a fourth continental title.
