CBN Cuts Interest Rate to 26.5% as Inflation Cools, Signaling Policy Shift
CBN Cuts Rate to 26.5% Amid Cooling Inflation

CBN Delivers New Interest Rate Cuts Amid Cooling Inflation

The Central Bank of Nigeria has announced a reduction in its benchmark interest rate to 26.5%, signaling a cautious shift towards monetary policy easing. This decision, made during the Monetary Policy Committee meeting in Abuja, reflects growing confidence that inflationary pressures are gradually subsiding in the Nigerian economy.

Second Rate Cut in Five Months

This latest cut from 27% to 26.5% follows an earlier reduction in September 2025, when the rate was lowered from 27.5%. Together, these moves mark a departure from the aggressive tightening cycle that has characterized monetary policy in recent years. Before September's adjustment, the last rate cut occurred in 2020, aimed at cushioning the economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic. Since then, rates had steadily climbed as authorities tackled persistent inflation, currency instability, and external pressures.

Inflation Shows Signs of Cooling

Fresh data from the National Bureau of Statistics has bolstered the committee's resolve. The January 2026 Consumer Price Index report indicates that Nigeria's headline inflation rate eased to 15.10%, down slightly from 15.15% in December 2025. While the drop is marginal, it reinforces a pattern of moderation that analysts believe could create room for gradual policy easing. Inflation remains elevated by historical standards, but the steady slowdown offers policymakers breathing space after years of tightening.

What the Decision Means for Banks and Borrowers

The Monetary Policy Rate serves as a benchmark for lending across the banking system, influencing how commercial lenders price loans. A lower MPR does not automatically translate to cheaper loans overnight, but it reduces funding costs for banks and can gradually lead to lower lending rates for businesses and consumers. For companies seeking expansion capital and households managing debt, even a modest reduction can ease financial pressure, especially in an environment where borrowing costs have remained high for an extended period.

Key Policy Parameters Retained

Despite the rate cut, the committee opted to keep other monetary settings unchanged. The asymmetric corridor was maintained at +50/-450 basis points around the MPR. The Cash Reserve Ratio stayed at 45% for Deposit Money Banks and 16% for Merchant Banks, while the Liquidity Ratio was retained at 30%. By holding these parameters steady, policymakers signaled that while easing has begun, caution remains central to their strategy, balancing growth stimulation with price stability.

Market Reaction and Investor Outlook

Financial market participants are assessing the likely impact of the decision. Analysts at Coronation Merchant Bank noted that it could provide support for fixed-income assets, with further easing potentially leading to moderation in bond yields and boosting the value of existing holdings. However, much will depend on inflation trends in the coming months; a sustained downward trend could encourage additional cuts, while any resurgence might prompt a pause.

A Cautious Turn Toward Growth

The latest decision underscores the Monetary Policy Committee's growing belief that inflation risks are easing enough to justify modest support for economic expansion. After years of tightening aimed at stabilizing prices and the currency, policymakers appear ready to pivot carefully. Officials continue to emphasize that price stability remains their primary mandate, and the coming months will test whether the balance between growth and inflation control can be maintained as Nigeria navigates a delicate economic recovery path.

Financial analyst Osas Igho commented, "This is the first time since the COVID-19 period that Nigerians will have an interest rate this low." He added that the rate cut offers a breather for businesses, especially SMEs, which have faced high interest rates in recent years. In related news, Nigeria has recorded its lowest food inflation rate in a decade, with food inflation falling to 8.89% in January 2026, providing relief to households battling high living costs.