Opta's supercomputer has released its prediction for the top five favourites to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, as the tournament enters its kickoff month. The United States, Mexico, and Canada will co-host the first 48-nation expanded edition, which runs from June 11 to July 19, 2026.
Top 5 Favourites to Win the 2026 World Cup
According to The Analyst, Opta's supercomputer ran 10,000 simulations to determine the leading contenders. European champions Spain top the list with a 16.1% chance of winning their second World Cup title. Key players to watch include Lamine Yamal and Pedri.
France, winners in 2018 and runners-up in 2022, have a 13.0% chance of triumphing. Kylian Mbappe, Michael Olise, and Ousmane Dembele are their standout stars.
England, seeking their first title since 1966, are given an 11.2% chance under manager Thomas Tuchel. Harry Kane and Declan Rice are pivotal.
Defending champions Argentina, aiming for a fourth consecutive international trophy, have a 10.4% chance. Lionel Messi, Julian Alvarez, and Nico Paz lead their charge.
Portugal, with Cristiano Ronaldo in his final World Cup, have a 7.0% chance. Other notable players include Vitinha, Joao Neves, and Bruno Fernandes.
Other Contenders
Brazil (6.1%), Germany (5.5%), Netherlands (3.6%), Norway (3.5%), and Belgium (2.4%) round out the top ten. Morocco, semi-finalists in 2022, are the highest-ranked African nation with a 1.9% chance.
