Naira Rebounds Against Dollar as CBN Resumes FX Sales, Gains N25 in Official Market
Naira Gains N25 vs Dollar as CBN Resumes FX Sales

Naira Rebounds Against Dollar as CBN Resumes FX Sales, Gains N25 in Official Market

The Nigerian naira has shown a strong recovery against the United States dollar in the official foreign exchange market, following the Central Bank of Nigeria's decision to resume dollar sales. This intervention has significantly improved foreign exchange supply, leading to notable appreciation of the local currency.

Official Market Sees Significant Naira Appreciation

Data released by the Central Bank of Nigeria reveals that the naira strengthened by N25.21 in a single trading session, closing at N1,376.19 per US dollar on Wednesday, March 11. This represents a substantial improvement from the N1,401.40 per dollar rate quoted earlier in the week at the Nigerian Foreign Exchange Market.

During Wednesday's trading session, market participants quoted the dollar at a low of N1,373 and a high of N1,388, according to official data published by the apex bank. The renewed intervention by the CBN has clearly had a positive impact on the official exchange rate.

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Parallel Market Remains Stable

While the official market saw significant movement, the parallel market, commonly referred to as the black market, remained stable with the dollar trading at N1,440. This stability in the unofficial market suggests that while official channels are improving, alternative exchange mechanisms continue to operate at different rates.

CBN's Dollar Sales and External Reserves

The Central Bank of Nigeria has resumed dollar sales, with recent data showing the apex bank sold approximately $314.2 million. This amount represents roughly 25% of total foreign exchange inflows in the market, following weeks of accumulating foreign currency reserves.

Nigeria's external reserves have continued to strengthen, reaching about $50.01 billion according to figures published on the CBN's website. More recent data indicates further improvement to $50.45 billion, which the Central Bank states provides approximately 9.68 months of import cover, offering stronger protection against external economic shocks.

Olayemi Cardoso, Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, commented on the improvement, stating that the stronger reserves reflect improved external fundamentals and ongoing reforms aimed at restoring confidence in Nigeria's foreign exchange market.

Foreign Exchange Inflows and Market Dynamics

A report by Coronation Merchant Bank indicated that total foreign exchange inflows reached $1.26 billion, with foreign portfolio investors contributing $518.7 million, representing 41.3% of total inflows. This demonstrates significant foreign investment interest in the Nigerian market.

Other Currency Exchange Rates

The Central Bank of Nigeria also released updated exchange rates for several other foreign currencies:

  • CFA: N2.49
  • Yuan/Renminbi: N200.41
  • Danish Krona: N213.39
  • Euro: N1,594.59
  • Yen: N8.68
  • Riyal: N366.72
  • South African Rand: N83.82
  • SDR: N1,881.26
  • Swiss Franc: N1,765.48
  • Pounds Sterling: N1,845.47
  • US Dollar: N1,376.19
  • WAUA: N1,915.03
  • UAE Dirham: N374.63

Expert Analysis on External Factors

Muda Yusuf, Chief Executive Officer of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, has provided analysis on how external geopolitical events might affect Nigeria's economy. According to Yusuf, the ongoing conflict involving Iran, the United States, and Israel could create mixed economic outcomes for Nigeria.

The CPPE boss explained that the net effect on Nigeria's exchange rate will depend on whether stronger oil inflows outweigh potential capital reversals. He noted that the conflict could potentially affect the naira, oil revenue, and inflation levels in Nigeria, highlighting the interconnected nature of global economic events and local currency performance.

The naira's recovery represents a positive development for Nigeria's economy, particularly following recent volatility in foreign exchange markets. The Central Bank's intervention appears to be having the intended effect of stabilizing the official exchange rate, though challenges remain in achieving parity between official and parallel market rates.

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